The handwritten notes on Class 11 Applied Mathematics Chapter 9 Probability have been carefully prepared for quick revision, according to the latest 2026-27 CBSE syllabus. The PDF covers sample space, events, conditional probability, total probability and Bayes theorem with short examples.

  • Best for quick revision: definitions, formulas, examples and common mistakes stay in one PDF.
  • Aligned to 2026-27: follows the current Class 11 Applied Mathematics probability scope.
  • Exam ready: Bayes theorem and total probability are revised through route-table examples.

Prepared by Collegedunia NCERT Faculty

These handwritten revision notes are built for fast board revision: clear probability notation, formula boxes, branch diagrams and Bayes theorem cues.

Each Class 11 Applied Mathematics Probability handwritten notes PDF is checked against the 2026-27 NCERT chapter for formulas, examples and revision flow.

Class 11 Applied Mathematics Chapter 9 Probability handwritten notes featured image

Student Feedback: In a Collegedunia poll of 11,640 students conducted before the 2026 boards, most students said Probability became easier after drawing branch tables for total probability and Bayes theorem.

Probability Handwritten Notes PDF Contents

Probability starts with uncertain experiments and ends with reverse-probability questions. These notes keep the flow simple: write the sample space, mark the event, apply the given condition and then choose the right formula.

BlockWhat students reviseQuick check
Sample spaceAll possible outcomes of a random experimentDefine the outcome first
EventsSubset of the sample spaceCount favourable outcomes
Conditional probabilityChance of one event after another is knownUse the reduced sample space
Bayes theoremChance of a cause after evidence is knownUse branch weights

Probability Bayes Theorem Video for Class 11

Source: Vedantu JEE on YouTube

Probability Sample Space and Event Basics

Probability decision flow for Class 11 Applied Mathematics

A random experiment has more than one possible result. The set of all possible results is the sample space. An event is any part of that sample space.

For equally likely outcomes, use P(E) = favourable outcomes divided by total outcomes. If A is an event, A prime means not A inside the same sample space.

  • Impossible event has probability 0.
  • Sure event has probability 1.
  • Mutually exclusive events do not occur together.
  • Exhaustive events cover the full sample space.

Conditional Probability and Bayes Theorem in Probability

Bayes theorem concept card for Class 11 Applied Mathematics Probability

Conditional probability asks for P(E given F). Once F is known, only outcomes inside F remain possible. That is why the formula divides by P(F).

FormulaUse it whenMeaning
P(E given F)=P(E and F)/P(F)One event is already knownReduce the sample space to F
P(B)=sum P(Ai)P(B given Ai)B can happen through many causesAdd all weighted routes
P(Ai given B)Evidence B is knownFind which cause is more likely

Total Probability and Bayes Theorem Examples

The total probability theorem works when events A1, A2, and A3 split the sample space. Each route gives one branch weight. Add the required route weights to get the final chance.

Bayes theorem reverses the question. If a defective bulb is found, the question may ask which unit made it. The answer is the needed branch weight divided by all defect branch weights.

  • Loan-default example: car loan answer is 5/12.
  • Courier example: late delivery answer is 51/1000.
  • Train given late delivery answer is 10/51.
  • Insurance example: scooter driver answer is 1/3.

How to Use Probability Handwritten Notes Before Tests

Use the Probability handwritten notes in three short passes. First revise definitions. Then solve one route-table example. Finally, write Bayes theorem in words before writing the formula.

Quick tip: Do not use Bayes theorem until evidence is already given. If the question only asks for total chance, total probability is enough.

  • Write S before counting any event.
  • Circle the given condition in the question.
  • Use a tree when the data has causes and evidence.
  • Keep all percentages in decimal form before substitution.

Related Resources for Probability Class 11

ResourceUse it forLink
NCERT Book PDFOfficial theory and examplesProbability Class 11 NCERT Book PDF
NCERT NotesTyped explanation and formula tablesProbability Class 11 Notes
NCERT SolutionsStep-by-step answers for exercisesProbability Class 11 NCERT Solutions
Formula SheetFormula-only revision before practiceProbability Class 11 Formula Sheet

Applied Mathematics Handwritten Notes for All Chapters

Probability Class 11 Applied Mathematics Handwritten Notes FAQs

Ques. What is covered in Class 11 Applied Mathematics Chapter 9 Probability handwritten notes?

Ans. The handwritten notes cover random experiments, sample space, events, event types, conditional probability, total probability, Bayes theorem and NCERT-style examples.

Ques. What is the formula for conditional probability?

Ans. Conditional probability is P(E given F)=P(E and F)/P(F), where P(F) is not zero. It means the event F is already known.

Ques. How is Bayes theorem used in Probability?

Ans. Bayes theorem is used when evidence is known and the question asks for the likely cause. It compares branch weights using prior chance and likelihood.

Ques. Are these Probability handwritten notes aligned with the 2026-27 syllabus?

Ans. Yes. The notes follow the current 2026-27 Class 11 Applied Mathematics chapter scope for Probability.